Delay and uncertainty are the two biggest threats that our economy faces at the present. The longer we go without the first steps of a BREXIT plan and without the actions and good news that will follow the more time is available for Dissatisfied Remainers and the Sly Remainers (like Osborne) to keep talking the country down and so ensure the good news does not get out.
For a negotiation to stick it must give both sides a WIN. So all negotiations should aim for Win/Win outcomes. Based on what EU politicians have said they are looking for a Win/Loose outcome and so it is pointless to negotiate with them.
Brexit will need action over a number of areas. Thankfully at least one plan for this has existed in the public domain since April 2104 (Institute of Economic Affairs: A Blueprint for Britain: Openness Not Isolation by Ian Mansfield). The document is 69 pages long and I will not repeat it here. But we can do a few things early and well. So here are my thoughts:
- Activate Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty;
- Immediately start enquiring of states with whom the EU currently has trade agreements if they wish to continue those agreements with us (following the Vienna Convention on the Succession of States);
- Announce the value of each deal and badge these as Wins for the leave policy. Thereby generating good news to counteract the ‘bad news’ being churned out by the Remainers;
- Conclude a Letter of Intent to enter into trade negotiations with all those countries who have asked us for a trade treaty but who are not already in a trade agreement with the EU. Make sure an estimate of the value of this trade is entered into each Letter of Intent;
- Announce the estimated value of these potential trade deals and badge them as a win for Leave.
- Each month issue a cumulative report on the value of trade deals completed and in-progresss. Badge these as wins for Leave.
- Quickly pass two Acts both to come into force at the end of the negotiation period unless better deals for the UK have been arrived at. The first, The EU Trade Act, sets out the terms of trade with the EU based on World Trade Organisation rules, the second, The New UK World Immigration Act, setting out the scheme under which immigration would be allowed.
- Insist that these two areas must be negotiated separately.
- Continue signing more trade agreements.
- If European business and agriculture judge that their trade competitiveness in the UK will be adversely affected by the new trade deals in force once the UK leaves the EU they will insist that their politicians negotiate a better agreement than that represented by the EU Trade Act.
- If the EU wants a better deal on the movement of labour then we can negotiate on the rights of workers to a work permit in both the EU and the UK who have been resident before 23 June 2016 , the terms of that work permit, the residency rights of retired people and the rights on other matters such as health care, state pensions, schooling/university and training etc.
- Remove Osborne and other moaning Remainers from positions of responsibility so that they can no longer continue to sabotage BREXIT by their negative comments, asides and self-justification.
The two Acts each put up the best outcome for the UK and the EU on the basis of International law and sets the best ‘Win’ for both of us at this point. The essence of this approach is that negotiation to a better position for both parties can start only when EU politicians are prodded by business and agriculture to negotiate on a better WIN/WIN position. Negotiation should only be allowed when the EU wants to negotiate positively for trade in industrial and agricultural products and never on one of these alone.
In the meantime the Leave team can spend their time getting on with the other issues that need to be addressed, especially the internal issues.
What do you think should be the priority internal issues?